Adam Smith, The Wealth of Nations, Book I, Chapter VIII, p. 87,
Even the most uninformed student of International Relations has a pretty firm grasp of the problems that China faces at this moment, in this present day. Lets go over a few of them. The first and most dangerous is the ever increasing gap between the rich and the poor. The second is the soon to come demographic melt-down due to the results of the "one child" policy and the Chinese macho, peasant, penchant for the ego hard-on of having to have a male heir.This moronical thinking has resulted in an estimated group of excess young men not un-adjacent in size to about 42 million souls! Now there are not 42 million free women to be imported to China for love or money! Let alone 42 million Chinese women. The third problem, and this one really is lurking dark and low in the background, the total lack of countervailing power inside the mechanics of the essentially communist state. But as I will prove, this the least of China's problems...
|China, just a stone tiger...|
If you are an interested China watcher, you would really like the last Charlie Rose interview with Henry Kissinger, on the occasion of the release of his latest book, (and hopefully his last book), on China. Now my usual opinion of old Henry is that he is nothing but a bloody toff! Did you ever read any of his books? The babble is elegant and goes on and on, but soon you are like that old lady in the burger commercial; Wheres the beef! Well the Oracle of Ottawa was quite surprised that after nearly a million written words old Henry has truly hit it out of the park! Which I guess is proof that if you live damn near a hundred years even Henry will have one good idea or realization. Somewhere in that interview, Henry states the great discovery of why we just don't, in the long run, have to really worry about China. In the great western democracies any one can be a citizen. For example a black, white, brown, red or yellow human being can be a citizen of the United States. But at the end of the day only a Chinese can be a citizen of China! The same thing is true about Japan and most of the other Asian states, isn't it? You have to praise Henry Kissinger on that one, a brilliant realization.
|Canada - China Friendship Society Meeting?|
Now to the meat dear reader! The Oracle of Ottawa loves to do his own thinking. And when teamed up with a self managed brokerage account, and a penchant for picking stocks, the Oracle of Ottawa has done mighty well for himself. To achieve clarity and depth, to see where and what other people can't, you must get right down to the basic philosophical axioms that drive a civilization. Now what is the underlying driving philosophical force in China and the Western World? In China the basic driver is the social philosophy of Confucius. Basically this is built on family loyalty and social stability in government. Let the Oracle of Ottawa translate that into modern English: Nepotism and Corruption! Now Western Civilization is based essentially at the end of the day, on the Classical Dialectic. This is the method of the classical Greeks, such as Socrates as recorded by Plato. The system is based on thesis, antithesis, synthesis. That is, one party presents an argument the other party presents his argument and this is discussed at length, with the hope of reaching a new piece of knowledge. Now the greatest thing about this dandy algorithm is not its age and shine in our history but rather its total flexibility! It also works very well indeed inside the head of one person, and the starting bits can be taken from anywhere in time, or one from different times. Think of an infinite tree graph. of the Cantor variety. China doesn't stand a chance...
Modern China in microcosm, this is all we are essentially up against, do you get it?